November 01, 2004
Notes On Watching CSPAN
Why was George Bush's last campaign stop in Dallas, while John Kerry's last campaign stop was in Ohio? What does that tell you?
That both the President and his challenger share my confidence in a Bush victory.
Why was the one random crowd voice i could hear while Bush was shaking hands after his rally saying "we love you George Bush," while the one random voice i could hear while Kerry shook hands after his rally said "tell Bush to fuck off." What does that tell you?
That no one should discount the number of people who love this President, nor that Kerry voters are motivated by negativity.
Posted by: annika at
10:44 PM
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Hey Girl
I hope to meet you at the Sac GOP/Dan Lungren Victory Party at the Lungren HQ in Folsom tonight. It's adjacent to the Folsom Movie theatre at the outlet mall. Starts at 8pm.
The Irishlass
Posted by: irishlass at November 02, 2004 01:32 PM (XLEyM)
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Early returns are depressing; try to not look until the suburbs start coming in, as most early returns are urban precincts.
Frankly, it looks pretty grim for the good guys right now. See below:
Kerry = + numbers
FL +4
OH +5
MI +4
PA +16
IA +2
WI +5
MN +15
NV Bush up 1
NM tied at 49
CO Bush up 1
VA Bush up 1
NC Bush up 5
Posted by: shelly at November 02, 2004 03:18 PM (fLlQ8)
Posted by: michele at November 02, 2004 04:17 PM (ht2RK)
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Annika,
Wrong again, the last stop was making phone calls in Ohio, doesn't sound too confident to me. He is scared, not confident. He would like to sit for 7 or 8 min with his glazed, goofy look, waiting for someone to tell him what to do.
And Yelling for Bush to fuck off is exhilarating! What has the emmense outpouring of hate for this man told you?
The man is a tough school yard bully, brawn and immense insecurity, and shallow intelect, very shallow.
Posted by: mike at November 02, 2004 05:08 PM (0ZdtC)
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"What has the emmense outpouring of hate for this man told you?"
It means there are plenty of sore losers that haven't gotten over the 2000 election.
Bush didn't steal the election this time either if the popular vote results so far are any indication.
Boo yah! Kerry lost by over 3 million votes! Bush is legitimate!!! The ghost of 2000 can die now........
http://algorerave.ytmnd.com/
Posted by: reagan80 at November 03, 2004 07:25 AM (hlMFQ)
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Halloween Poll Huh?
Who the hell voted for Bit-O-Honey? Wassup with that?
Posted by: annika at
08:57 PM
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Posted by: Matt at November 02, 2004 11:28 AM (SIlfx)
Posted by: annika at November 02, 2004 02:07 PM (zAOEU)
Posted by: Brant at November 04, 2004 06:40 PM (WfQGW)
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Tomorrow
As promised, here's my final pre-election take.
Issue Number Three: The Apparent Dead Heat In The Polls
In short, i don't buy it for a number of reasons. i think the press and the pollsters, out of bias and self-interest, are making this thing out to be closer than it actually is. i also think that polling methodology has not kept up with changes in demographics and technology.
i'm confident that Bush will win the election. If i have any worry, it's that the Democratic get-out-the-vote effort will be very organized and strong. That's because there are more Democrats available to volunteer than Republicans. Students, union operatives and professional activists can easily take the day off to drive voters to the polls and staff the phone banks. Most Republicans still have to go to work. Then of course, there's also Democratic fraud.
But despite these concerns, i still have faith in the common sense of the average American. In fact, i am so certain that George W. Bush will win the election, that i am willing to make the following wager: i will bet this blog on a George Bush victory.
i offer to bet this blog against any liberal blog rated as a large mammal on the TTLB Ecosystem. Winner is the blogger who backs the prevailing candidate, Bush or Kerry. i take Bush. Loser shuts down his or her blog. For good. Effective inauguration day, 2005.
That should be a good incentive for fans of annika's journal to get out there and vote. Not that i expect any bloggers to take my bet, because deep down, everybody knows i'm right.
Update: Obviously, the offer expires when polls open on the East Coast.
Posted by: annika at
11:38 AM
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Stayed up late looking at states and polls, and made my exact prediction in this post:
http://theendzone.blogspot.com/2004/11/end-zone-predicts-bush-352-kerry-186.html
"Horserace Blog (http://jaycost.blogspot.com/) believes Kerry has no more than a 2% chance of winning. That might be accurate, except for the Democratic cheating. Mark Steyn says Bush has to achieve victory "outside the 'Margin of Lawyer.'" I'd say the cheat factor gives Kerry a 5-10% chance of winning. If Kerry does win, he can thank his lawyers, his cheaters on the ground, and absolutely clueless voters.
[...]
Here's the incredibly obvious flaw that no one is mentioning: If turnout is huge, it overwhelms any metric for accurately predicting the results. [...] King Kong Margins of Error mean pollsters are not worth their big-money fees. I suspect that's the reason pollsters are not admitting the obvious correlation between huge turnout and pollster cluelessness."
BTW, anyone who wants to do me a favor can rip into my cousin for his WOT views by leaving a comment on this post:
http://theendzone.blogspot.com/2004/10/why-i-voted-for-george-w-bush-or-wot.html
I cannot rip my cousin any more, b/c he is one of my great and close friends, and I'm afraid hard feelings might arise between us. But I would get a great laugh from seeing someone else rip him!
Posted by: gcotharn at November 01, 2004 03:05 PM (+7VNs)
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Clarification: I wrote that WOT post, and my cousin Jeff commented on it, wondering why our military is in Iraq.
Posted by: gcotharn at November 01, 2004 03:07 PM (+7VNs)
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Oy. I really wish I had your optimism. Here's hoping.
Posted by: Dave J at November 01, 2004 03:17 PM (GEMsk)
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I'm optimistic, but you stand a better chance by making the bet contingent on the Jets' performance rather than those of lawyers/frauds.
Posted by: Scof at November 01, 2004 04:58 PM (9lWXc)
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I don't believe all the polls saying how close this election will be. I believe Bush will win a second term and we will all know by tomorrow night. I may be after midnight, but we will hear of his history making re-election!
Posted by: Izzy at November 01, 2004 06:29 PM (zYgqP)
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You are right about the polls. Bush will win by 11 points.
Posted by: Jake at November 01, 2004 06:42 PM (h4tU8)
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From a war weary private on the battlefield in PA(ME):
"Your honour calls you hence...
And all the gods go with you! Upon your sword
Sit laurel victory."
- William Shakespeare
The troops are positioned, the supplies are in place, the strategy is set and the battlefield has been chosen. The Ground war Begins At 6:45 AM.
ONWARD to Victory for our President!
Sure I am this day we are masters of our fate, that the task which has been set before us is not above our strength; that its pangs and toils are not beyond our endurance. As long as we have faith in our own cause and an unconquerable will to win, victory will not be denied us."
- Winston Churchill
Posted by: Lawguy at November 01, 2004 09:57 PM (nCl+P)
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Congratulations on keeping your blog. Did any of body accept your bet? If so, who? I'd love to go read their parting words.
Posted by: Robbie at November 03, 2004 06:41 AM (AAqv2)
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i've never had the impule to call any liberal wise. Until now.
Wisely, no one had the guts to take my bet.
Posted by: annika at November 03, 2004 09:17 AM (zAOEU)
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Monday Night Football
New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins. Line: Jets by 6½. Take the Jets minus the points.
Posted by: annika at
11:20 AM
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Posted by: Casca at November 01, 2004 04:18 PM (cdv3B)
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Posted by: Advertising signs at January 21, 2011 03:56 AM (zpIH7)
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Conspiracy?
i live in the Central Valley and my mom lives in L.A. We're both registered Republicans. We sent in our absentee ballot requests on the same day. i got mine last week and i voted last Thursday.
i talked to my Mom last night.
She never got her ballot . . .
Posted by: annika at
08:05 AM
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Oh shit! Somebody call Jesse Jackson!!! Nevermind, that bastard will probably try to justify why your mother's right to vote isn't a priority......
Posted by: reagan80 at November 01, 2004 11:43 AM (hlMFQ)
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Hey Raygun,
We meet again!
I guess what is good for the goose is good for the gander. 15 thousand absentee ballots never reached their intended in heavly democratic Broward county FL. Conspiracy?
Posted by: mike at November 01, 2004 01:50 PM (0ZdtC)
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I recommend getting on the permanent absentee ballot list. That way you don't have to send in the request form each election. The only "catch" is the first time you don't return your ballot, you'll be dropped from the list and have to reapply for the permanent status.
Posted by: Chrees at November 01, 2004 02:26 PM (RZfsx)
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Mike, that's actually 58,000. But I've never understood how the consistent staggering incompetence of Democratic Supervisors of Elections in Broward and Palm Beach are somehow a GOP conspiracy.
Posted by: Dave J at November 01, 2004 03:13 PM (GEMsk)
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