Big NFC North matchup tonight. Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. i'm going to try out a new analysis today, so stay with me and you'll see the beauty of it, then you can laugh at the suckers later.
Now the line opened with Green Bay favored by 3½ points. The current line is up to 5½ points. The conventional wisdom says Green Bay will do well in November at home against their arch-rivals, who play in a dome. Also, Brett Favre and company have a lot to make up for, with their recent Monday night debacles. Plus, the Vikings are without their star Daunte Culpepper, while the Packers are still led by fading superstar Favre. The Packers are also coming off a huge victory against the Falcons last week, and they will hopefully ride into this game with some momentum and renewed confidence.
So, naturally i would pick the Packers tonight. However, this week i am going with the George Costanza rule, which states as follows:
Thus, i am picking the Minnesota Vikings plus 5½ points to win.
1
Annie:
The liune has moved two full points because there is a huge amount of money coming in on Green Bay.
It takes millions to even move it a half point, so two full points is a big imbalance. The bookies hate a big move like this, as they can be caught in the switch by a game that hits on four or five and they lose both ways...
My gut says lay the points. Also, there's a big cold wave coming in from Canada, which is slightly warmer than Green Bay. The Cheeseheads will freeze their holes off tonight.
Posted by: shelly at November 21, 2005 02:16 PM (6mUkl)
2
neither side has an offense anymore, score will be 3 to 2 favoring the pack.
Posted by: kyle at November 21, 2005 02:56 PM (GVCvl)
3
For a minute, I thought you were going to do the envionmentalist wacko betting approach favored by Rush Limbaugh. The George Costanza method is preferred, though, as it's likely to be correct about 50% of the time.
Posted by: physics geek at November 21, 2005 03:00 PM (auFn9)
4
I got the Pack by 7, thirty-three to twenty-six.
Posted by: Scof at November 21, 2005 03:05 PM (7z8ua)
5
As Jerry would say, "Good luck with that."
Posted by: Casca at November 21, 2005 03:09 PM (qBTBH)
6
Twenty-six? Scof, I scoff at you. Who the phuck has ever scored 26 points? HOW the phuck do you score 26 points?
(Yeah, OK, four FGs and 2 TDs w/ extra points. I'm still scoffin' at Scof.)
Posted by: Victor at November 21, 2005 05:44 PM (l+W8Z)
7
three td's, one field goal and a safety. it's possible.
Posted by: annika at November 21, 2005 05:51 PM (b/4ME)
8
Rutgers scored 26 on UConn this year, my way.
(yeah i googled it.
it was a field goal, three TDs, and a safety, just like i said.)
And Jacksonville scored 26 Victor's way in week one. Cleveland did it by missing a PAT in week 2. Jacksonville did it again in OT in week 3. The Jets did it in week 9 with a missed 2pt attempt.
Posted by: annika at November 21, 2005 06:04 PM (b/4ME)
9
It doesn't happen that freakin' often...especially safeties.
Posted by: Victor at November 21, 2005 06:40 PM (l+W8Z)
10
As John Kerry would say "It looks cold at Lambert Field".
Posted by: shelly at November 21, 2005 07:55 PM (6mUkl)
11
Shelly, that's the first time that you've ever made me LMAO, thank god I wasn't drinking anything.
Victor, STFU, you're a buzzkill.
Posted by: Casca at November 21, 2005 08:25 PM (qBTBH)
12
OK, guys, let's give the lady her due.
Great guess Annie. In the 3rd quarter there, for a minute or two, the Vikes actually looked like a real team with a couple of great drives.
They took it to the Cheeseheads in their own house and deserved the win.
Still two mediocre teams, either one of which even OSU could probably beat.
Posted by: shelly at November 22, 2005 12:00 AM (6mUkl)
13
I know you are, Casca, but what am I?
Posted by: Victor at November 22, 2005 05:08 AM (L3qPK)
14
Casca's still in mourning over the pussies, so let me try to anwer that:
How about a juvenile fucktard?
Posted by: shelly at November 22, 2005 07:51 AM (6mUkl)
15
I know you are, Shelly, but what am I?
Posted by: Victor at November 22, 2005 11:15 AM (L3qPK)
Posted by: Mike at November 27, 2005 04:17 AM (KczSR)
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